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China is a through train: a moderately loose monetary policy will be implemented in 2025. Recently, both Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference decided that China will implement a moderately loose monetary policy next year. People close to the central bank said that the adjustment of monetary policy expression means that monetary policy will continue to maintain greater support for the real economy next year. In the current situation that the economic recovery is still facing many internal and external uncertainties and prices continue to run at a low level, this is very necessary, and it also reflects the central decision-making deployment of "implementing more active and promising macro policies". Judging from a series of recent policy operations and official statements, China's macro-control ideas are also being dynamically optimized, gradually paying more attention to investment from the past, paying equal attention to investment and consumption, and paying more attention to consumption change. People close to the central bank said that in the future, moderately loose monetary policy will be consistent with the overall macro-control thinking change, and more support will be given to promoting consumption and benefiting people's livelihood. (The country is a through train)Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.

The Baltic Sea Index fell for the fourth consecutive week due to the drop in freight rates of all ship sectors. According to the latest data, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reported 1051 points on December 13, 2024, the lowest level since July 25, 2023, down 0.38% from the previous value, and fell for the fourth consecutive day. Among them, Panama-type freight index (BPI) reported 995 points, down 2.55% from the previous value, Cape-type freight index (BCI) reported 1263 points, up 0.88%, and super handy ship freight index (BSI) reported 959 points, down 0.21%. The Baltic Exchange's Dry Bulk Shipping Index, which is used to measure the freight of ships transporting dry bulk goods, fell for the fourth week in a row on Friday, because all ship sectors fell this week. The index, which takes into account the freight rates of Capesize, Panamax and Super Handy ships, fell 4 points to 1,051 points on Friday, the lowest level since the end of July 2023. The index fell by about 10% this week. Panama shipping freight index fell 26 points to 995 points. The index also fell this week. Panama-type ships usually carry 60,000-70,000 tons of coal or grain cargo, and their average daily income dropped by $231 to $8,955. Although the freight index of Cape ships rose by 11 points to 1,263 points on Friday, it still fell for the fourth consecutive week. Cape ships usually transport 150 thousand tons of goods, such as iron ore and coal, and their average daily income has increased by 92 dollars to 10,474 dollars. Iron ore futures fell, but closed higher this week. Among small vessels, the freight index of super handy vessels dropped by 2 points to 959 points, which also recorded a loss in Zhou Du.Maiwell Technology rose more than 11% to a record high, and announced a breakthrough in customized high-bandwidth memory. Maiwell Technology rose more than 11% in intraday trading to US$ 121.86, with its share price reaching a record high and its market value exceeding US$ 100 billion. Maywell Technology announced on Wednesday that the company has made a breakthrough in customized high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for artificial intelligence processors. It is reported that the new artificial intelligence accelerator architecture (XPU) will increase computing power by 25%, memory by 33%, and improve energy efficiency. The company is cooperating with Micron Technology, Samsung and SK Hynix to customize HBM processors for accelerators.Spot silver fell by 2.0% in the day to $30.33 per ounce. New york Silver fell 2.5% in the day to $30.83 per ounce.

Brazilian President's Office: Brazilian President Lula recovered well after surgery, and his speech and diet were normal.According to statistics, on December 13th, as of press time, eight A-share listed companies, including Weisheng Information, Weixing Intelligent, Tongda Shares, Yangfan New Materials, Xingguang Agricultural Machinery, Huawang Technology, Xinxiangwei and Infineon, disclosed their reduction.Unitedhealth group, USA: The suspect in the executive shooting was not a corporate client. On December 13th, a spokesman for unitedhealth group said that Luigi Man Ghione, the suspect in the shooting of Brian Thompson, CEO of United Health Insurance Company, was not a corporate client. Andrew Vitti, CEO of unitedhealth group, expressed his condolences over Thompson's murder in a commentary and said that he understood the public's dissatisfaction with the "defective" health care system in the United States. Vitti said: "Health care is both a personal matter and very complicated. People don't fully understand the reasons behind the underwriting decision, and we are responsible for it. We need to work with employers, governments and other people who pay for medical expenses to improve the way we explain insurance coverage and make decisions. "